Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 43.160486 49.713192 56.543601 64.163133 72.394532 80.989537 90.613312
2024-10-13 34.061947 43.343693 53.585201 65.591395 79.152947 93.879013 110.961946
2024-10-20 27.580745 38.059138 50.150499 64.858755 82.005692 101.126913 123.828552
2024-10-27 22.174277 33.156525 46.387120 63.036199 82.994654 105.762715 133.320005
2024-11-03 20.040040 31.900316 46.663896 65.707514 88.991085 115.971610 149.054862
2024-11-10 17.883746 30.308241 46.277358 67.364164 93.619083 124.476574 162.753940
2024-11-17 15.052552 27.459664 44.002969 66.422158 94.889442 128.852092 171.491904
2024-11-24 12.654024 24.913050 41.875166 65.448576 95.942485 132.831773 179.658189
2024-12-01 10.980073 23.214033 40.721286 65.597339 98.293064 138.311593 189.576854
2024-12-08 9.551119 21.707577 39.693191 65.796909 100.622075 143.709457 199.367867
2024-12-15 8.432562 20.553824 39.059396 66.443657 103.468761 149.716473 209.893590
2024-12-22 7.072667 18.806067 37.412672 65.578579 104.248450 153.073274 217.122648
2024-12-29 6.318463 18.043125 37.207115 66.729861 107.735533 159.927469 228.807168
2025-01-05 5.679433 17.406398 37.142667 68.052327 111.447349 167.087958 240.920970
2025-01-12 4.716134 15.981635 35.720439 67.322251 112.317369 170.561441 248.392739
2025-01-19 3.694372 14.226017 33.609039 65.453748 111.532185 171.823806 253.025348
2025-01-26 3.527459 14.319178 34.574898 68.188592 117.126782 181.420582 268.266730
2025-02-02 3.219407 14.033441 34.864291 69.883862 121.272067 189.133919 281.140780
2025-02-09 2.588816 12.829024 33.463388 68.919916 121.633582 191.838105 287.599354
2025-02-16 2.048062 11.699208 32.093078 67.923527 121.890006 194.363707 293.805052
2025-02-23 1.704408 11.015177 31.478889 68.075784 123.761438 199.028167 302.771885
2025-03-02 1.411203 10.389598 30.920652 68.280034 125.685692 203.755580 311.826366
2025-03-09 1.193703 9.937753 30.659530 68.941917 128.264668 209.366406 322.044581